Mary Landrieu 50/50 in 2014; despite no formal challenger

Louisiana’s Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu is only 50-50 to win a fourth term in 2014, according to ratings posted by the Capitol Hill website Roll Call.

“The red hue of the Pelican State in recent presidential elections means 2014 is going to be a close race. And President Barack Obama‘s re-election was probably to the detriment of Landrieu’s political future,” the site says in an early handicapping of the next election cycle.

This is nothing new for Landrieu, who has been listed among “the most vulnerable Democrats” in her previous re-election bids.

The unknown at this point is who will emerge as her Republican challenger. Early speculation includes some of the state’s GOP House members and even Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal, who is barred by law from seeking re-election when his second term expires in 2015. But Jindal’s future calculations are also complicated by interest in the 2016 presidential race.

Roll Call says Rep. “Bill Cassidy is seen in Louisiana GOP circles as best-suited to challenge and beat the incumbent. He’s viewed as the ‘consensus candidate,’ one Louisiana Republican operative said. NOLA

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